3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,025 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 121 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,053/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$556/mo
Annual
$6,671/yr
Cap rate
23.01%
Cash-on-cash
59.71%
DSCR
3.66
1% rule
2.64%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $804 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#68 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D, schools F, amenities F.
Perry County (rural): math 23% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #120 of 133 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP.
Perry County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen countertops
— missing and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— missing and in poor condition
Major: flooring
— missing and in poor condition
Major: interior walls
— dated paneling and peeling paint
Major: central air
— no central air system
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29