6 bd · 3.5 ba ·
3,162 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,286/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,549
Tax + insurance
−$436
HOA
−$128
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$690
Net cashflow
$-517/mo
Annual
$-6,205/yr
Cap rate
5.02%
Cash-on-cash
-4.56%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$136,111
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/3.5-bath land listed at $486k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-517 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $395k (18.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $329k (32.4% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $329k (32.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#699 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A, cost of living A-, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment D-.
Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 2170 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PXP5WT05GFRDMA
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29