2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
672 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Manufactured
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,049/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$249
Tax + insurance
−$46
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$534/mo
Annual
$6,405/yr
Cap rate
19.78%
Cash-on-cash
48.16%
DSCR
3.14
1% rule
2.21%
Cash to close
$13,300
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $534 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $45k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#540 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ochwilla Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 410 students, 64% FRL); Interlachen Jr-Sr High School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,097 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 759 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 5.6% in Interlachen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PXPVGVDYVPWCV3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29