4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,293/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$272
Net cashflow
$-431/mo
Annual
$-5,174/yr
Cap rate
3.89%
Cash-on-cash
-8.59%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-431 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (35.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (39.9% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $129k (39.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#861 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Yorkshire-Pioneer Central School District (town): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #358 of 590 in NY (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Delevan Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,085 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 355 students, 51% FRL); Pioneer Middle School (math 35% / reading 52%, grade D, #366 of 729 statewide, top 51%, 662 students, 52% FRL); Pioneer Senior High School (math 98% / reading 95%, grade A+, #59 of 1,100 statewide, top 6%, 658 students, 42% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PXTRMX0RQ27GDE
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29