3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,952 sqft ·
Built 1889
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,341/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$282
Net cashflow
$91/mo
Annual
$1,086/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.42%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cynthia Heights Elementary School (math 56% / reading 55%, grade C, #188 of 994 statewide, top 19%, 457 students, 43% FRL); Helfrich Park Stem Academy (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #108 of 330 statewide, top 34%, 517 students, 52% FRL); Francis Joseph Reitz High School (math 45% / reading 68%, grade C, #70 of 369 statewide, top 19%, 1,280 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $138k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PY0FYPA6SQKCT1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29