3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,469 sqft ·
Built 1924
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$270
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$583/mo
Annual
$6,991/yr
Cap rate
19.87%
Cash-on-cash
48.48%
DSCR
3.16
1% rule
2.43%
Cash to close
$14,420
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $50k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($356 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Rutherford County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #98 of 178 in NC (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 193 units permitted in Rutherford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rutherford County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $48k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 3.4% in Spindale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PZAJQ29BN5F1HE
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29