5609 Church Dr

Rand, WV 25306

$9,000C-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,128 sqft · Built 1953 · MultiFamily · Pending · 37 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,577/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$47
• Tax + insurance: −$81
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$541
• Net cashflow: $1,907/mo
• Annual: $22,886/yr
• Cap rate: 269.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 939.83%
• DSCR: 42.82
• 1% rule: 28.63%
• Cash to close: $2,520

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $9k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $9k).
• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $9k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $421 of equity ($62 loan paydown + $359 appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#138 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
• Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Malden Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #350 of 377 statewide, top 95%, 152 students, 0% FRL); Riverside High School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #55 of 110 statewide, top 59%, 1,220 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 24 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.