3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,413/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$321
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$507
Net cashflow
$117/mo
Annual
$1,404/yr
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.79%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$78,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (13.8% below list).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $241k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#30 in GA, #3,898 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Jackson County (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #50 of 174 in GA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: East Jackson Elementary School (math 58% / reading 43%, grade D+, #249 of 1,228 statewide, top 21%, 594 students, 53% FRL); West Jackson Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #135 of 470 statewide, top 29%, 1,502 students, 28% FRL); Jackson County High School (math 20% / reading 17%, grade F, #254 of 424 statewide, top 61%, 1,833 students, 26% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,167 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (59 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.0% in Braselton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PZM26M3MVEDX6V
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29