3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,249/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$472
Net cashflow
$1,466/mo
Annual
$17,593/yr
Cap rate
45.39%
Cash-on-cash
139.62%
DSCR
7.21
1% rule
5.00%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#252 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
Wayne-Westland Community School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #474 of 540 in MI (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 251 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 45.4% vs local median 5.7% in Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior siding
— some discoloration
Minor: interior paint
— some discoloration
Minor: landscaping
— some overgrown areas
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q066VX52S38QD3
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29