3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,484 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Townhouse
· Active
· 350 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,898/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,282
Tax + insurance
−$307
HOA
−$100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$-190/mo
Annual
$-2,279/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.33%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$68,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $244k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-190 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (13.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (22.4% below list).
It's been on market 350 days — a 12% lower offer ($215k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Barbe Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #415 of 646 statewide, top 67%, 164 students, 84% FRL); Ray D. Molo Middle Magnet School (math 6% / reading 18%, grade F, #193 of 218 statewide, top 88%, 325 students, 91% FRL); Washington/Marion Magnet High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #241 of 265 statewide, top 93%, 587 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 52% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Calcasieu Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 480 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At $1,898/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 350 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q06B9VBNVSBBFQ
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29