3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,355 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,272/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,625
Tax + insurance
−$290
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$477
Net cashflow
$-121/mo
Annual
$-1,447/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.67%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$86,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-121 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $289k (6.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (26.7% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $227k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 595 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $187k; list at $310k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q0YS29E4YR161P
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29