2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,372 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,301/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$797/mo
Annual
$9,560/yr
Cap rate
12.31%
Cash-on-cash
21.47%
DSCR
1.96
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $797 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#245 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, amenities D-, commute F.
Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 605 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.1% in Sequim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q15CJ82656T053
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29