3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,148 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 142 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,551/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$426
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$536
Net cashflow
$440/mo
Annual
$5,286/yr
Cap rate
9.07%
Cash-on-cash
9.92%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $219k).
It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#441 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Audubon Elementary School (math 55% / reading 57%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 450 students, 58% FRL); Thomas Jefferson Middle School (math 63% / reading 55%, grade B, #144 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 608 students, 43% FRL); Merritt Island High School (math 32% / reading 55%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 1,546 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $219k implies a 441% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q1GRN29T4C5F9S
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29