316 Elmer St

St. Martinville, LA 70582

$90,000B

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,984 sqft · Built 1969 · Other · Pending · 27 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,242/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax + insurance: −$132
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$261
• Net cashflow: $377/mo
• Annual: $4,523/yr
• Cap rate: 11.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.95%
• DSCR: 1.80
• 1% rule: 1.38%
• Cash to close: $25,200

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $90k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
• It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• St. Martin Parish (rural): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #49 of 98 in LA (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: St. Martinville Primary School (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #381 of 646 statewide, top 59%, 498 students, 77% FRL); St. Martinville Junior High School (math 9% / reading 32%, grade F, #161 of 218 statewide, top 76%, 385 students, 75% FRL); St. Martinville Senior High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #203 of 265 statewide, top 80%, 610 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 73% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in St. Martin Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• St. Martin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $55k; list at $90k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 6.9% in St. Martinville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.