3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,257/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$154
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$264
Net cashflow
$53/mo
Annual
$640/yr
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.53%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($640/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (16.1% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $126k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in IN, #869 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D-.
Richmond Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Westview Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #790 of 994 statewide, top 81%, 241 students, 77% FRL); Richmond High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #270 of 369 statewide, top 77%, 1,332 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.2% in Richmond — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q2RFN6BSB8W5PR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29