2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
971 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Condo
· Active
· 141 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,225/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$359
HOA
−$390
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$467
Net cashflow
$-643/mo
Annual
$-7,721/yr
Cap rate
3.84%
Cash-on-cash
-8.75%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-643 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (14.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (29.4% below list).
It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#26 in NC, #2,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #85 of 178 in NC (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.3%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,969 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (5,377 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mecklenburg County population projected at +53% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 3.1% in Charlotte — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q2SVM94RTT93QH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29