2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,284/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$695
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$43/mo
Annual
$515/yr
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.60%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
3.21%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($515/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: West Lincoln Elementary School (math 29% / reading 32%, grade F, #426 of 502 statewide, top 85%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Goodrich Middle School (math 38% / reading 36%, grade F, #99 of 128 statewide, top 79%, 877 students, 78% FRL); Lincoln Northeast High School (math 34% / reading 36%, grade F, #207 of 261 statewide, top 79%, 1,812 students, 62% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lincoln Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 54% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 366 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q3D7KS7VXP11EE
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29