None bd · None ba ·
2,116 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 394 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,483/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$298
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,151
Net cashflow
$3,095/mo
Annual
$37,134/yr
Cap rate
27.04%
Cash-on-cash
74.09%
DSCR
4.30
1% rule
3.06%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $179k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($37k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $179k).
It's been on market 394 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#599 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Pana CUSD 8 (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #360 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $179k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 6.4% in Pana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 394 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: kitchen appliances
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— basic and in need of replacement
Moderate: exterior siding
— moderate wear
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29