3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,427 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,103/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$51
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$454/mo
Annual
$5,452/yr
Cap rate
14.09%
Cash-on-cash
27.85%
DSCR
2.24
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.7%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#130 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Prescott School District (town): math 16% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #218 of 238 in AR (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Prescott Elementary School (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 454 statewide, top 82%, 378 students, 100% FRL); Prescott Junior High School (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #184 of 201 statewide, top 92%, 249 students, 100% FRL); Prescott High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #255 of 292 statewide, top 89%, 311 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 69% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP.
Nevada County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $28k; list at $70k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q3JFWB9A4ZG6G9
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29