2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
754 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,086/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$439
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$352/mo
Annual
$4,225/yr
Cap rate
11.34%
Cash-on-cash
18.03%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$23,436
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $579 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#327 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Talladega City (rural): math 7% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #114 of 129 in AL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Graham Elementary School (math 8% / reading 32%); Zora Ellis Junior High School (math 2% / reading 23%, grade F, #216 of 257 statewide, top 86%, 228 students, 91% FRL); Talladega High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 446 students, 84% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.8% in Talladega — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29