3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,526 sqft ·
Built 2010
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,717/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,253
Tax + insurance
−$398
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$361
Net cashflow
$-295/mo
Annual
$-3,538/yr
Cap rate
4.81%
Cash-on-cash
-5.29%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$66,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-295 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (17.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (28.1% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Riverton Elementary School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #63 of 627 statewide, top 10%, 581 students, 29% FRL); Riverton Intermediate School (math 25% / reading 63%, grade D, #42 of 257 statewide, top 17%, 813 students, 36% FRL); Buckhorn High School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #59 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,287 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 570 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $136k; list at $239k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q43H688KHN104T
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29