2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
500 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,195/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$184/mo
Annual
$2,206/yr
Cap rate
8.30%
Cash-on-cash
7.16%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#46 in OR, #1,184 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+.
Junction City SD 69 (town): math 26% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #27 of 58 in OR (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Laurel Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #205 of 412 statewide, top 51%, 501 students, 50% FRL); Oaklea Middle School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #45 of 128 statewide, top 35%, 490 students, 52% FRL); Junction City High School (math 10% / reading 70%, grade F, #69 of 143 statewide, top 54%, 539 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.7% in Junction City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q4A8751HE9XXDN
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29