3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,603 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,220/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$111
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-402/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.85%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-402/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (3.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (27.8% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#19 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Okeene (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #256 of 513 in OK (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Okeene Es (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 176 students, 0% FRL); Okeene Jr-Sr Hs (Sr) (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #361 of 447 statewide, top 94%, 106 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Okeene average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Blaine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Blaine County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $48k; list at $169k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q50JZX8PJ3PSC8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29