4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,416 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,697/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,617
Tax + insurance
−$622
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$986
Net cashflow
$472/mo
Annual
$5,659/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$139,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $499k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $470k (5.9% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($469k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $469k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#13 in GA, #2,017 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Crabapple Lane Elementary School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #111 of 1,228 statewide, top 9%, 596 students, 13% FRL); Flat Rock Middle School (math 35% / reading 55%, grade D, #103 of 470 statewide, top 23%, 883 students, 46% FRL); Sandy Creek High School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 1,188 students, 43% FRL).
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $310k; list at $499k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.5% in Tyrone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q52EQT39FRNESA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29