4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,514 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,194
Tax + insurance
−$1,028
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,155
Net cashflow
$124/mo
Annual
$1,483/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.87%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$170,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $609k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $550k (9.7% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($600k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $550k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#499 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Northwest Local (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #508 of 656 in OH (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Colerain Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #788 of 1,584 statewide, top 52%, 586 students, 50% FRL); Colerain Middle School (math 33% / reading 43%, grade F, #532 of 654 statewide, top 81%, 580 students, 56% FRL); Colerain High School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #560 of 781 statewide, top 72%, 1,747 students, 54% FRL).
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $205k; list at $609k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $5,500/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q5826175K216EX
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29