2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Condo
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,769/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,914
Tax + insurance
−$675
HOA
−$716
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$792
Net cashflow
$-327/mo
Annual
$-3,919/yr
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.06%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$102,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $365k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-327 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $318k (13.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $365k).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $318k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#695 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, schools A, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
Los Alamitos Unified (suburban): math 57% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #52 of 517 in CA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.3% in Seal Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,769/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— dated design
Minor: bath cabinets
— dated design
Moderate: exterior siding
— moderate wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q5E874FNPYQJHZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29