2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 306 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,359/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$667
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$495
Net cashflow
$-901/mo
Annual
$-10,812/yr
Cap rate
3.59%
Cash-on-cash
-9.65%
DSCR
0.57
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-901 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (32.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (41.0% below list).
It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (41.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#81 in HI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Keonepoko Elementary School (math 8% / reading 24%, grade F, #169 of 183 statewide, top 93%, 562 students, 75% FRL); Pahoa High & Intermediate School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #35 of 43 statewide, top 86%, 723 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 39% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hawaii Department Of Education average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 982 units permitted in Hawaii County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hawaii County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 2.8% in Hawaiian Paradise Park — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q5HKX732W4AQS4
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29