5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,648 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 303 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,070/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$772/mo
Annual
$9,260/yr
Cap rate
13.70%
Cash-on-cash
26.46%
DSCR
2.18
1% rule
1.66%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $772 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#827 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: cost of living D+, crime F, amenities F.
River Delta Joint Unified (town): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #810 of 1,400 in CA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant fire damage
Major: interior walls
— Exposed structural elements
Major: ceiling
— Exposed ceiling and missing walls
Major: bathroom
— Dirty and in disrepair
Major: roof
— Exposed structural elements
Major: flooring
— Exposed subfloor
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q6782GDY8X9VQ4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29