4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,278 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,778/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$373
Net cashflow
$101/mo
Annual
$1,207/yr
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.96%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (19.2% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $178k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#2 in NV, #1,723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gragson Oran K Es (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #329 of 402 statewide, top 83%, 567 students, 100% FRL); Martin Roy W Ms (reading 31%, 1,271 students, 100% FRL); Desert Pines Hs (math 5% / reading 20%, grade F, #116 of 131 statewide, top 88%, 3,151 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Clark County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q74Y6Q22VXPW53
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29