2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,057 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,884/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$461
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$396
Net cashflow
$-217/mo
Annual
$-2,600/yr
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.16%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $180k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (17.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $149k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mockingbird El (math 63% / reading 65%, grade B, #283 of 4,322 statewide, top 7%, 673 students, 23% FRL); J L Long Middle (math 36% / reading 38%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 1,127 students, 60% FRL); Woodrow Wilson H S (math 56% / reading 41%, grade D, #560 of 1,632 statewide, top 35%, 1,809 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 83% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Dallas ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— dated design
Minor: bathroom vanity
— dated design
Minor: exterior paint
— faded paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q761BRDRK11B2Z
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29