3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,686 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,756/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,809
Tax + insurance
−$318
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$579
Net cashflow
$50/mo
Annual
$601/yr
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.62%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$96,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $50 ($601/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (20.1% below list).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $276k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $34k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#649 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Person County Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #110 of 178 in NC (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Stories Creek Elementary (math 52% / reading 49%, grade D+, #403 of 1,410 statewide, top 29%, 365 students, 99% FRL); Person High (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,079 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 54% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Person County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Person County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 33% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $112k; list at $345k implies a 209% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $97k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$59k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.5% in Roxboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q7K36176MFKWJH
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29