30 bd · 25.0 ba ·
4,018 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$20,669/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,522
Tax + insurance
−$2,708
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,340
Net cashflow
$5,098/mo
Annual
$61,182/yr
Cap rate
10.06%
Cash-on-cash
13.45%
DSCR
1.60
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$455,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 6-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.62M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($61k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $1.62M).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $49k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#41 in CA, #1,541 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
South Pasadena Unified (suburban): math 79% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #46 of 1,400 in CA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 60 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 0.9% in South Pasadena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $20,669/mo this rent would consume 195% of the median local household income ($127k/yr) (locally 992% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q7Q2H3A07DEBH0
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29