1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1901
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$823/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$544
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$173
Net cashflow
$-67/mo
Annual
$-809/yr
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.78%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$29,064
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-809/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($823 rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $718 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#706 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
Mattoon CUSD 2 (town): math 13% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #462 of 620 in IL (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 6.3% of price; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Coles County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.6% in Mattoon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29