8 bd · 1.0 ba ·
3,448 sqft ·
Built 1986
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,094/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$286
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$860
Net cashflow
$850/mo
Annual
$10,203/yr
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.11%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $213/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $400k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $394k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Decatur City (urban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 129 in AL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Decatur Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #536 of 627 statewide, top 88%, 346 students, 89% FRL); Decatur High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,040 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 57% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,094/mo this rent would consume 96% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1386% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q851D7ER9NP8XC
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29