3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,237 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,368/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$282
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$287
Net cashflow
$405/mo
Annual
$4,865/yr
Cap rate
12.78%
Cash-on-cash
23.17%
DSCR
2.03
1% rule
1.82%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#415 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
Onondaga Central School District (rural): math 54% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #261 of 590 in NY (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q8F7S9FHQ02B9J
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29