3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,021 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,667/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$590
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$350
Net cashflow
$-7/mo
Annual
$-84/yr
Cap rate
9.89%
Cash-on-cash
12.84%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-84/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (0.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $139k (0.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in LA, #261 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Phoebe Hearst School (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #443 of 646 statewide, top 69%, 692 students, 53% FRL); T.H. Harris Middle School (math 8% / reading 24%, grade F, #180 of 218 statewide, top 83%, 707 students, 61% FRL); East Jefferson High School (math 18% / reading 35%, grade F, #148 of 265 statewide, top 56%, 1,348 students, 55% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.6% in Metairie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q8H44BC8H350DM
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29