4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,672 sqft ·
Built 1995
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,073/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$364
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$15/mo
Annual
$179/yr
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.27%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $240k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($179/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (13.6% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in ND, #605 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Fargo 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 53 in ND (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ed Clapp Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #222 of 236 statewide, top 94%, 452 students, 78% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 49% / reading 55%, grade C+, #3 of 35 statewide, top 12%, 975 students, 26% FRL); Fargo Davies High School (math 34% / reading 45%, grade F, #57 of 144 statewide, top 48%, 1,363 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 25% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $165k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.5% in Fargo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— No visible damage, but age is unknown
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible systems, but age is unknown