2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,417 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Other
· Active
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,254
Tax + insurance
−$716
HOA
−$265
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$472
Net cashflow
$-1,458/mo
Annual
$-17,501/yr
Cap rate
2.22%
Cash-on-cash
-14.54%
DSCR
0.35
1% rule
0.52%
Cash to close
$120,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $430k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (49.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (47.7% below list).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $219k (49.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#400 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Norwalk Community School District (suburban): math 76% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #39 of 289 in IA (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 439 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.2% vs local median 1.7% in Cumming — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 49% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q8Z01A0R316PKB
· Data 10 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29