2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,664 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,081/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,253
Tax + insurance
−$465
HOA
−$85
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$437
Net cashflow
$-159/mo
Annual
$-1,911/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.66%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$66,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (9.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (12.9% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#59 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Hancock County School District (rural): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #23 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: East Hancock Elementary School (math 64% / reading 59%, grade B, #22 of 375 statewide, top 6%, 639 students, 100% FRL); Hancock Middle School (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #39 of 179 statewide, top 22%, 958 students, 100% FRL); Hancock High School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #42 of 197 statewide, top 21%, 1,187 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 248 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hancock County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q94V6610VMX5NS
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29