4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,116 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,072/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$225
Net cashflow
$182/mo
Annual
$2,186/yr
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.44%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $434 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#351 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Wilburton (town): math 25% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #136 of 270 in OK (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP.
Latimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $78k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q98DKG6462218S
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29