1 bd · 1.5 ba ·
873 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Townhouse
· Active
· 484 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,728/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$951
Tax + insurance
−$728
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$573
Net cashflow
$476/mo
Annual
$5,714/yr
Cap rate
12.26%
Cash-on-cash
21.33%
DSCR
1.95
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$50,792
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $181k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $181k).
It's been on market 484 days — a 12% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $956 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, commute A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Aventura Waterways K-8 Center (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #664 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 2,168 students, 32% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 2152 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask is 9203% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $140k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $51k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 1.8% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 484 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen backsplash
— Some wear visible on the backsplash
Minor: Bathroom
— Simple design with a toilet, sink, and vanity
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q99J4F2MZVJVFJ
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29