3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,534 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 181 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,183/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$458
Net cashflow
$169/mo
Annual
$2,023/yr
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.79%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $218k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#547 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Westwood Unified (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #995 of 1,400 in CA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fletcher Walker Elementary (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,420 of 1,571 statewide, top 91%, 89 students, 80% FRL); Westwood High (math 15% / reading 44%, grade F, #723 of 1,170 statewide, top 64%, 85 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Lassen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lassen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $259k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29