4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,108 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 180 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,363/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$277
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$496
Net cashflow
$1/mo
Annual
$10/yr
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.01%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $295k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($10/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (19.9% below list).
It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#304 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Monroe-Gregg School District (rural): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #143 of 301 in IN (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 330 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.5% in Monrovia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q9T49WEADMJD87
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29