3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,288/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$69
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$660/mo
Annual
$7,926/yr
Cap rate
20.70%
Cash-on-cash
51.47%
DSCR
3.29
1% rule
2.34%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $660 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#408 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Vigo County School Corporation (urban): math 32% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #202 of 301 in IN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rio Grande Elementary School (math 52% / reading 38%, grade D-, #374 of 994 statewide, top 38%, 439 students, 54% FRL); Otter Creek Middle School (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #274 of 330 statewide, top 83%, 787 students, 65% FRL); Terre Haute North Vigo High School (math 25% / reading 62%, grade F, #191 of 369 statewide, top 52%, 1,507 students, 51% FRL).
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Vigo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Vigo County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 3.3% in North Terre Haute — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q9V90E0T6DTNE9
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29