4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,789 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,755/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$510
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$579
Net cashflow
$-219/mo
Annual
$-2,628/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.68%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $311k (11.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (21.3% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $276k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Chapel Hill Elementary School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #562 of 1,228 statewide, top 46%, 649 students, 58% FRL); Chapel Hill Middle School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #147 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 1,098 students, 55% FRL); New Manchester High School (math 10% / reading 28%, grade F, #250 of 424 statewide, top 60%, 1,894 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 610 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QA8GTD54Y1NRHJ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29