3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,292 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,526/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$321
Net cashflow
$504/mo
Annual
$6,044/yr
Cap rate
11.55%
Cash-on-cash
18.79%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$32,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#282 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Warrick County School Corporation (suburban): math 54% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #24 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Chandler Elementary School (math 56% / reading 54%, grade C, #192 of 994 statewide, top 20%, 575 students, 57% FRL); Castle North Middle School (math 57% / reading 59%, grade B, #18 of 330 statewide, top 5%, 770 students, 22% FRL); Castle High School (math 56% / reading 80%, grade B, #22 of 369 statewide, top 6%, 1,961 students, 26% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 249 units permitted in Warrick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warrick County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.9% in Chandler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QAC376EDSQQ9Y1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29