2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,108/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$304
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$440/mo
Annual
$5,277/yr
Cap rate
16.54%
Cash-on-cash
36.60%
DSCR
2.63
1% rule
1.91%
Cash to close
$16,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($401 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#86 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $33k; list at $58k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QAFG8K5Y8ZHY02
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29