1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
477 sqft ·
Built 1958
· Townhouse
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,794/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,510
Tax + insurance
−$480
HOA
−$754
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$587
Net cashflow
$-537/mo
Annual
$-6,445/yr
Cap rate
4.06%
Cash-on-cash
-7.99%
DSCR
0.64
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$80,640
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $288k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-537 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (27.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (3.0% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: President Abraham Lincoln Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #46 of 183 statewide, top 29%, 357 students, 57% FRL); Robert Louis Stevenson Middle School (math 30% / reading 57%, grade D, #10 of 42 statewide, top 22%, 576 students, 43% FRL); President Theodore Roosevelt High School (math 41% / reading 73%, grade C, #3 of 43 statewide, top 7%, 1,433 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 60d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 89% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen backsplash
— slight discoloration
Minor: bathroom vanity
— slight discoloration
Minor: interior walls
— some discoloration
CashFlowRE · CFR-QAN80H2H84NB5B
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29