3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,016 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,076/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,489
Tax + insurance
−$473
HOA
−$189
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$436
Net cashflow
$-512/mo
Annual
$-6,144/yr
Cap rate
4.13%
Cash-on-cash
-7.73%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$79,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $284k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-512 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (26.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (26.9% below list).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#668 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 340 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $240k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QAQR2B7JFH333R
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29