4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,830 sqft ·
Built 1984
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,379/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$689
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$710
Net cashflow
$-117/mo
Annual
$-1,404/yr
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.25%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$111,997
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-59/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $379k (5.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $338k (15.5% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $338k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#61 in NY, #895 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
Shenendehowa Central School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #98 of 590 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Shatekon Elementary School (math 72% / reading 70%, grade A-, #434 of 2,108 statewide, top 21%, 532 students, 29% FRL); Koda Middle School (math 51% / reading 64%, grade B, #187 of 729 statewide, top 26%, 751 students, 21% FRL); Shenendehowa High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 3,036 students, 21% FRL).
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $325k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.7% in Cohoes — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QB5031B2P5BGSG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29